Holywell v GAP Connah S Quay FC: numbers & prediction

Holywell vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Holywell welcome GAP Connah S Quay FC to Bartons North Wales Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Friday 7 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, Holywell are 16th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 15 matches; GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 38. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Holywell, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Cardiff MET, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

GAP Connah S Quay FC, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Caernarfon Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Holywell, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for GAP Connah S Quay FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Holywell 0.9 xG, GAP Connah S Quay FC 3.0 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Holywell 10%, draw 16%, GAP Connah S Quay FC 73%.
• GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was GAP Connah S Quay FC to win (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holywell 0–3 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.