Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultThe New Saints to win ✓76% · @1.25
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓93% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.85
The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 7 August: The New Saints v Haverfordwest County AFC in the Premier League, played at Park Hall. In the table, The New Saints are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 16 matches; Haverfordwest County AFC are 11th (lower half) with 16. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
The New Saints, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Penybont, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Haverfordwest County AFC, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Airbus UK, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Haverfordwest County AFC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for The New Saints.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give The New Saints 1.9 xG, Haverfordwest County AFC 0.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – The New Saints 76%, draw 17%, Haverfordwest County AFC 7%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.38, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: The New Saints 1–0 Haverfordwest County AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
The New Saints76%fair 1.32 · @1.25
Draw17%fair 5.82 · @5.00
Haverfordwest County AFC7%fair 14.48 · @9.40
2.21Expected goals
1.88The New Saints xG
0.33Haverfordwest County AFC xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
2–019%
3–012%
0–011%
1–17%
2–16%
From our goals model: The New Saints 1.9 – 0.3 Haverfordwest County AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The New Saints to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Double chance
The New Saints or draw✓
93%
1.07
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Draw no bet
The New Saints (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
The New Saints -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.48 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
The New Saints to score first✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
The New Saints ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The New Saints / FT The New Saints✓
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.85
–
Recent results
The New Saints – last 6
DWLLLW
2 Aug
@ Penybont
0–0
D
30 Jul
vs Flora Tallinn
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Flora Tallinn
0–1
L
14 Jul
vs Sabah FA
1–2
L
7 Jul
@ Sabah FA
0–2
L
26 Jun
@ H&W Welders
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Haverfordwest County AFC – last 6
LWLWWW
1 Aug
vs Airbus UK
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs Caerau (Ely)
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Hamilton Academical
0–4
L
3 Apr
@ Flint Town United
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Briton Ferry
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Cardiff MET
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between The New Saints and Haverfordwest County AFC.
What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
On our numbers The New Saints have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Haverfordwest County AFC 7%.
How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Our predicted score is The New Saints 1–0 Haverfordwest County AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
