GAP Connah S Quay FC 67%Draw 20%Trefelin 13%Expected goals 2.32 – 0.96
67%
Betarazi pick
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓67% · @1.28
Double chanceGAP Connah S Quay FC or draw ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
GAP Connah S Quay FC welcome Trefelin to Essity Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Friday 14 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 16 matches; Trefelin are 15th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
GAP Connah S Quay FC, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Holywell, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Trefelin, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Llandudno, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.3 xG, Trefelin 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GAP Connah S Quay FC 67%, draw 20%, Trefelin 13%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was GAP Connah S Quay FC to win (67%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–0 Trefelin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GAP Connah S Quay FC67%fair 1.50 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @5.25
Trefelin13%fair 7.54 · @8.20
3.28Expected goals
2.32GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
0.96Trefelin xG
56%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.3 – 1.0 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✓
67%
1.50
1.28
Double chance
GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.77
Draw no bet
GAP Connah S Quay FC (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
GAP Connah S Quay FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
First team to score
GAP Connah S Quay FC to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
GAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6
WLLDWL
7 Aug
@ Holywell
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Caernarfon Town
1–2
L
16 Jul
@ Ballkani
2–3
L
8 Jul
vs Ballkani
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Queen of the South
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ The New Saints
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Trefelin – last 6
LLWWWL
7 Aug
vs Llandudno
0–4
L
31 Jul
@ Colwyn Bay
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Treowen Stars
6–0
W
30 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
8–1
W
27 Mar
@ Pontypridd Town
3–1
W
17 Mar
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–4
L
2.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GAP Connah S Quay FC and Trefelin.
What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin?
Our pick is GAP Connah S Quay FC to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin?
On our numbers GAP Connah S Quay FC have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Trefelin 13%.
How many goals will there be in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin?
Our predicted score is GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–0 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin?
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
