Haverfordwest County AFC 26%Draw 23%Penybont 51%Expected goals 0.75 – 1.24
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Penybont to win @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPenybont to win ✓51% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.67
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Penybont travel to face Haverfordwest County AFC on Friday 14 August in the Premier League, with Bridge Meadow Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Haverfordwest County AFC are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Penybont are 3rd (among the top four) with 36. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Haverfordwest County AFC, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to The New Saints, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Penybont, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Caernarfon Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Haverfordwest County AFC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Penybont.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Haverfordwest County AFC 0.8 xG, Penybont 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Haverfordwest County AFC 26%, draw 23%, Penybont 51%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Penybont to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Haverfordwest County AFC 0–1 Penybont. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Haverfordwest County AFC26%fair 3.84 · @2.95
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Penybont51%fair 1.95 · @2.25
1.99Expected goals
0.75Haverfordwest County AFC xG
1.24Penybont xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–014%
1–113%
0–210%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: Haverfordwest County AFC 0.8 – 1.2 Penybont expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penybont to win✓
51%
1.95
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Draw no bet
Penybont (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Haverfordwest County AFC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Penybont to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penybont / FT Penybont✓
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.67
–
Recent results
Haverfordwest County AFC – last 6
LLWLWW
7 Aug
@ The New Saints
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Airbus UK
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs Caerau (Ely)
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Hamilton Academical
0–4
L
3 Apr
@ Flint Town United
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Briton Ferry
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Penybont – last 6
WDLLLL
7 Aug
@ Caernarfon Town
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs The New Saints
0–0
D
16 Jul
@ FC Santa Coloma
0–3
L
9 Jul
vs FC Santa Coloma
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Barry Town
0–2
L
3 Mar
@ Barry Town
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haverfordwest County AFC and Penybont.
What is the prediction for Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont?
On our numbers Haverfordwest County AFC have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Penybont 51%.
How many goals will there be in Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont?
Our predicted score is Haverfordwest County AFC 0–1 Penybont, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont?
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bridge Meadow Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
