The New Saints 72%Draw 19%Briton Ferry 9%Expected goals 2.02 – 0.54
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultThe New Saints to win ✓72% · @1.17
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
The New Saints vs Briton Ferry: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Briton Ferry travel to face The New Saints on Friday 14 August in the Premier League, with Park Hall the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, The New Saints are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 16 matches; Briton Ferry are 12th (lower half) with 15. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
The New Saints, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Haverfordwest County AFC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Briton Ferry, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cambrian & Clydach, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Briton Ferry, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for The New Saints.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give The New Saints 2.0 xG, Briton Ferry 0.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – The New Saints 72%, draw 19%, Briton Ferry 9%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: The New Saints 2–0 Briton Ferry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
The New Saints72%fair 1.38 · @1.17
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @6.00
Briton Ferry9%fair 11.56 · @13.00
2.56Expected goals
2.02The New Saints xG
0.54Briton Ferry xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–016%
1–016%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: The New Saints 2.0 – 0.5 Briton Ferry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The New Saints to win✓
72%
1.38
1.17
Double chance
The New Saints or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.93
Draw no bet
The New Saints (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
The New Saints -1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.28
First team to score
The New Saints to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
The New Saints ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The New Saints / FT The New Saints✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
The New Saints – last 6
WDWLLL
7 Aug
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Penybont
0–0
D
30 Jul
vs Flora Tallinn
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Flora Tallinn
0–1
L
14 Jul
vs Sabah FA
1–2
L
7 Jul
@ Sabah FA
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Briton Ferry – last 6
DWLWLW
7 Aug
@ Cambrian & Clydach
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Ammanford AFC
2–1
W
21 Jul
@ Merthyr Town
0–3
L
3 Apr
vs Cardiff MET
3–1
W
28 Mar
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
16 Mar
@ Cardiff MET
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between The New Saints and Briton Ferry.
What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?
On our numbers The New Saints have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Briton Ferry 9%.
How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?
Our predicted score is The New Saints 2–0 Briton Ferry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?
The New Saints vs Briton Ferry (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
