GAP Connah S Quay FC 62%Draw 22%Airbus UK 17%Expected goals 2.11 – 1.02
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceGAP Connah S Quay FC or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 15 September: GAP Connah S Quay FC v Airbus UK in the Premier League, played at Essity Stadium. In the table, GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 16 matches; Airbus UK are 5th (upper half) with 30.
Current form
GAP Connah S Quay FC, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Colwyn Bay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Airbus UK, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to The New Saints, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours GAP Connah S Quay FC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Airbus UK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.1 xG, Airbus UK 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GAP Connah S Quay FC 62%, draw 22%, Airbus UK 17%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–1 Airbus UK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GAP Connah S Quay FC62%fair 1.63 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.00
Airbus UK17%fair 5.94 · @5.80
3.13Expected goals
2.11GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
1.02Airbus UK xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.1 – 1.0 Airbus UK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✓
62%
1.63
1.44
Double chance
GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.70
Draw no bet
GAP Connah S Quay FC (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
GAP Connah S Quay FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
GAP Connah S Quay FC to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
GAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6
LDWWWW
12 Sep
@ Colwyn Bay
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Flint Town United
2–1
W
28 Aug
vs Cambrian & Clydach
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Ammanford AFC
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Trefelin
6–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Airbus UK – last 6
LWWLLW
11 Sep
vs The New Saints
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Briton Ferry
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Holywell
6–2
W
28 Aug
@ Barry Town
2–4
L
21 Aug
@ Colwyn Bay
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Ammanford AFC
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GAP Connah S Quay FC and Airbus UK.
What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK?
On our numbers GAP Connah S Quay FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Airbus UK 17%.
How many goals will there be in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK?
Our predicted score is GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–1 Airbus UK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK?
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Airbus UK (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
