Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultPenybont to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chancePenybont or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.48
Penybont vs Briton Ferry: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Penybont welcome Briton Ferry to Bryntirion Park for a Premier League fixture on Tuesday 15 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Penybont are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 15 matches; Briton Ferry are 12th (lower half) with 15. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Penybont, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Trefelin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Briton Ferry, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Haverfordwest County AFC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Penybont, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Briton Ferry.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penybont 1.7 xG, Briton Ferry 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penybont 62%, draw 22%, Briton Ferry 17%.
Lower-risk option: Penybont or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Penybont to win (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penybont 1–0 Briton Ferry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penybont62%fair 1.63 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.50
Briton Ferry17%fair 5.94 · @4.80
2.38Expected goals
1.67Penybont xG
0.71Briton Ferry xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Penybont 1.7 – 0.7 Briton Ferry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penybont to win✓
62%
1.63
1.67
Double chance
Penybont or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.91
Draw no bet
Penybont (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Penybont -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Penybont to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penybont / FT Penybont✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.48
–
Recent results
Penybont – last 6
WWDDWW
11 Sep
@ Trefelin
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Colwyn Bay
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Cambrian & Clydach
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs Flint Town United
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Llandudno
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Briton Ferry – last 6
LLLLWL
11 Sep
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
1–3
L
4 Sep
vs Airbus UK
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Barry Town
1–4
L
28 Aug
@ Cardiff MET
0–3
L
21 Aug
@ Flint Town United
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ The New Saints
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penybont and Briton Ferry.
What is the prediction for Penybont vs Briton Ferry?
Our pick is Penybont to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Penybont vs Briton Ferry?
On our numbers Penybont have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Briton Ferry 17%.
How many goals will there be in Penybont vs Briton Ferry?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penybont vs Briton Ferry?
Our predicted score is Penybont 1–0 Briton Ferry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Penybont vs Briton Ferry?
Penybont vs Briton Ferry (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bryntirion Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
