Holywell 12%Draw 22%Colwyn Bay 66%Expected goals 1.21 – 2.67
66%
Betarazi pick
Colwyn Bay to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultColwyn Bay to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Holywell vs Colwyn Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Holywell welcome Colwyn Bay for a Premier League fixture on Tuesday 15 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Holywell are 16th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 15 matches; Colwyn Bay are 4th (among the top four) with 32. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Holywell, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cambrian & Clydach, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Colwyn Bay, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over GAP Connah S Quay FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Colwyn Bay, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Holywell.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Holywell 1.2 xG, Colwyn Bay 2.7 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Holywell 12%, draw 22%, Colwyn Bay 66%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Colwyn Bay to win (66%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holywell 1–2 Colwyn Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Holywell12%fair 8.13 · @9.00
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.80
Colwyn Bay66%fair 1.52 · @1.30
3.88Expected goals
1.21Holywell xG
2.67Colwyn Bay xG
61%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–37%
0–16%
From our goals model: Holywell 1.2 – 2.7 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colwyn Bay to win✓
66%
1.52
1.30
Double chance
Colwyn Bay or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.73
Draw no bet
Colwyn Bay (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Colwyn Bay -1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
First team to score
Colwyn Bay to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Colwyn Bay ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colwyn Bay / FT Colwyn Bay✓
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.23
–
Recent results
Holywell – last 6
LDLLLL
11 Sep
@ Cambrian & Clydach
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Trefelin
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Airbus UK
2–6
L
28 Aug
vs Caernarfon Town
3–5
L
21 Aug
vs Barry Town
1–3
L
14 Aug
@ Llandudno
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Colwyn Bay – last 6
WLWLWL
12 Sep
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Penybont
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Llandudno
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ The New Saints
1–5
L
21 Aug
vs Airbus UK
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Caernarfon Town
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holywell and Colwyn Bay.
What is the prediction for Holywell vs Colwyn Bay?
Our pick is Colwyn Bay to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Holywell vs Colwyn Bay?
On our numbers Holywell have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colwyn Bay 66%.
How many goals will there be in Holywell vs Colwyn Bay?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holywell vs Colwyn Bay?
Our predicted score is Holywell 1–2 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Holywell vs Colwyn Bay?
Holywell vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
