Briton Ferry v GAP Connah S Quay FC Prediction & Expected Goals (9 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓62% · @1.53

Double chanceGAP Connah S Quay FC or draw ✓83% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.14

Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 9 October: Briton Ferry v GAP Connah S Quay FC in the Premier League, played at Old Road. In the table, Briton Ferry are 12th, lower half, on 15 points after 16 matches; GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 38. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Briton Ferry, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Colwyn Bay, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

GAP Connah S Quay FC, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Penybont, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours GAP Connah S Quay FC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Briton Ferry.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Briton Ferry 0.9 xG, GAP Connah S Quay FC 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Briton Ferry 17%, draw 22%, GAP Connah S Quay FC 62%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was GAP Connah S Quay FC to win (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Briton Ferry 0–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Briton Ferry17%fair 5.94 · @5.50

Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.90

GAP Connah S Quay FC62%fair 1.62 · @1.53

2.79Expected goals

0.88Briton Ferry xG

1.91GAP Connah S Quay FC xG

52%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%

0–211%

1–110%

1–210%

0–37%

1–36%

From our goals model: Briton Ferry 0.9 – 1.9 GAP Connah S Quay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	GAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓	62%	1.62	1.53
Double chance	GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw ✓	83%	1.20	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.91	1.85
Draw no bet	GAP Connah S Quay FC (draw no bet) ✓	79%	1.27	–
Asian handicap	GAP Connah S Quay FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.89	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
First team to score	GAP Connah S Quay FC to score first ✗	64%	1.56	–
Half-time result	GAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time ✗	44%	2.26	–
Half-time / full-time	HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC ✗	39%	2.57	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✓	10%	10.14	–

Briton Ferry – last 6

WDDLLL

3 Oct	vs Colwyn Bay	1–0	W
26 Sep	@ Holywell	1–1	D
18 Sep	vs Trefelin	1–1	D
15 Sep	@ Penybont	2–3	L
11 Sep	@ Haverfordwest County AFC	1–3	L
4 Sep	vs Airbus UK	0–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6

WWWWLD

3 Oct	vs Penybont	1–0	W
26 Sep	@ Barry Town	4–1	W
18 Sep	vs Cardiff MET	1–0	W
15 Sep	vs Airbus UK	3–0	W
12 Sep	@ Colwyn Bay	1–2	L
4 Sep	vs Haverfordwest County AFC	1–1	D

1.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	The New Saints	16	14	2	0	+48	44
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	16	12	2	2	+25	38
3	Penybont	15	11	3	1	+21	36
4	Colwyn Bay	16	10	2	4	+10	32
5	Airbus UK	16	10	0	6	+10	30
6	Caernarfon Town	16	9	2	5	+21	29
7	Barry Town	16	9	2	5	+6	29
8	Cardiff MET	16	7	4	5	+6	25
9	Cambrian & Clydach	16	5	4	7	-15	19
10	Llandudno	16	5	1	10	-7	16
11	Haverfordwest County AFC	16	5	1	10	-11	16
12	Briton Ferry	16	4	3	9	-11	15
13	Flint Town United	16	4	2	10	-8	14
14	Ammanford AFC	16	3	3	10	-30	12
15	Trefelin	16	1	3	12	-29	6
16	Holywell	15	0	2	13	-36	2

Team

Pts

+48

+25

+21

+10

+10

+21

-15

-7

Haverfordwest County AFC

-11

-11

-8

-30

-29

-36

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Our pick is GAP Connah S Quay FC to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

On our numbers Briton Ferry have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 62%.

How many goals will there be in Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Our predicted score is Briton Ferry 0–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Old Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Briton Ferry v GAP Connah S Quay FC: numbers & prediction