Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓95% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.86
Holywell vs The New Saints: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
The New Saints travel to face Holywell on Friday 9 October in the Premier League, with Bartons North Wales Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Holywell are 16th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 15 matches; The New Saints are 1st (leading the league) with 44. There are 42 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Holywell, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ammanford AFC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
The New Saints, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 9–0 win over Cambrian & Clydach, at home. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours The New Saints, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.3 for Holywell.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Holywell 0.7 xG, The New Saints 3.2 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Holywell 5%, draw 9%, The New Saints 85%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.40 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holywell 1–3 The New Saints. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Holywell5%fair 18.90 · @126.00
Draw9%fair 10.69 · @13.00
The New Saints85%fair 1.17 · @1.04
3.92Expected goals
0.71Holywell xG
3.21The New Saints xG
51%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–311%
0–210%
0–49%
1–38%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Holywell 0.7 – 3.2 The New Saints expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The New Saints to win✓
85%
1.17
1.04
Double chance
The New Saints or draw✓
95%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
The New Saints (draw no bet)✓
94%
1.06
–
Asian handicap
The New Saints -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
–
First team to score
The New Saints to score first
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
The New Saints ahead at half-time✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The New Saints / FT The New Saints✗
63%
1.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.86
–
Recent results
Holywell – last 6
LDLLLD
3 Oct
@ Ammanford AFC
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Briton Ferry
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Colwyn Bay
0–5
L
11 Sep
@ Cambrian & Clydach
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Trefelin
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
The New Saints – last 6
WWWWWW
3 Oct
vs Cambrian & Clydach
9–0
W
26 Sep
@ Trefelin
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Llandudno
2–1
W
15 Sep
vs Flint Town United
5–0
W
11 Sep
@ Airbus UK
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Barry Town
1–0
W
3.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holywell and The New Saints.
What is the prediction for Holywell vs The New Saints?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.40.
Who will win Holywell vs The New Saints?
On our numbers Holywell have a 5% chance of winning, the draw 9% and The New Saints 85%.
How many goals will there be in Holywell vs The New Saints?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holywell vs The New Saints?
Our predicted score is Holywell 1–3 The New Saints, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Holywell vs The New Saints?
Holywell vs The New Saints (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bartons North Wales Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
