Cardiff MET vs Trefelin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 9 October: Cardiff MET v Trefelin in the Premier League, played at Cyncoed Campus. In the table, Cardiff MET are 8th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Trefelin are 15th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cardiff MET, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Llandudno, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Trefelin, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Airbus UK, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Cardiff MET, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Trefelin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff MET 2.3 xG, Trefelin 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff MET 71%, draw 21%, Trefelin 8%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cardiff MET to win (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff MET 2–0 Trefelin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cardiff MET71%fair 1.41 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @5.00
Trefelin8%fair 12.24 · @8.50
2.96Expected goals
2.26Cardiff MET xG
0.70Trefelin xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cardiff MET 2.3 – 0.7 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff MET to win✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Double chance
Cardiff MET or draw✗
92%
1.09
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.80
Draw no bet
Cardiff MET (draw no bet)✗
90%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Cardiff MET -1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Cardiff MET to score first✗
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Cardiff MET ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff MET / FT Cardiff MET✗
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Cardiff MET – last 6
WWDLDD
3 Oct
@ Llandudno
1–0
W
29 Sep
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Caernarfon Town
2–2
D
18 Sep
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Flint Town United
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Trefelin – last 6
LLDLLD
3 Oct
@ Airbus UK
0–3
L
26 Sep
vs The New Saints
1–3
L
18 Sep
@ Briton Ferry
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–4
L
11 Sep
vs Penybont
0–1
L
4 Sep
@ Holywell
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff MET and Trefelin.
What is the prediction for Cardiff MET vs Trefelin?
Our pick is Cardiff MET to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Cardiff MET vs Trefelin?
On our numbers Cardiff MET have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Trefelin 8%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff MET vs Trefelin?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff MET vs Trefelin?
Our predicted score is Cardiff MET 2–0 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cardiff MET vs Trefelin?
Cardiff MET vs Trefelin (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Cyncoed Campus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
