União de Leiria 47%Draw 21%Benfica B 32%Expected goals 1.08 – 0.80
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.36Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnião de Leiria to win ✗47% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.08
União de Leiria vs Benfica B: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the Segunda Liga brings União de Leiria against Benfica B at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, União de Leiria are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Benfica B are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
União de Leiria, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vizela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Benfica B, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Leixoes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Benfica B, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for União de Leiria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União de Leiria 1.1 xG, Benfica B 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União de Leiria 47%, draw 21%, Benfica B 32%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: União de Leiria 1–0 Benfica B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União de Leiria47%fair 2.15 · @2.16
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.40
Benfica B32%fair 3.13 · @3.00
1.88Expected goals
1.08União de Leiria xG
0.80Benfica B xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: União de Leiria 1.1 – 0.8 Benfica B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win✗
47%
2.15
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.60
Draw no bet
União de Leiria (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Benfica B +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.36 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
União de Leiria to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.08
–
Recent results
União de Leiria – last 6
LLWDDW
9 Aug
@ Vizela
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Las Palmas
2–3
L
15 Jul
vs AD Marco 09
2–0
W
17 May
vs Feirense
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Pacos Ferreira
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Benfica B – last 6
WWWWDD
10 Aug
vs Leixoes
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Atlético CP
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Mérida AD
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Casa Pia
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Farense
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Torreense
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União de Leiria and Benfica B.
What is the prediction for União de Leiria vs Benfica B?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win União de Leiria vs Benfica B?
On our numbers União de Leiria have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Benfica B 32%.
How many goals will there be in União de Leiria vs Benfica B?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União de Leiria vs Benfica B?
Our predicted score is União de Leiria 1–0 Benfica B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is União de Leiria vs Benfica B?
União de Leiria vs Benfica B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
