Value bet: Chaves to win @ 2.58 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChaves to win ✗43% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Sporting CP B vs Chaves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting CP B welcome Chaves to CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira for a Segunda Liga fixture on Saturday 15 August (15:30 WAT). In the table, Sporting CP B are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 10 matches; Chaves are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting CP B, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AVS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Chaves, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Academica, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chaves, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Sporting CP B.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Sporting CP B 0–1 Chaves.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting CP B 1.3 xG, Chaves 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting CP B 34%, draw 23%, Chaves 43%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Chaves to win @2.58 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting CP B 1–1 Chaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting CP B34%fair 2.91 · @2.54
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
Chaves43%fair 2.33 · @2.58
2.82Expected goals
1.32Sporting CP B xG
1.51Chaves xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Sporting CP B 1.3 – 1.5 Chaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
On our numbers Sporting CP B have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chaves 43%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP B 1–1 Chaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
Sporting CP B vs Chaves (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
