Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVizela to win ✗47% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.65
Portimonense vs Vizela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vizela travel to face Portimonense on Sunday 16 August in the Segunda Liga – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Portimonense are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Vizela are 9th (upper half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Portimonense, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Penafiel, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Vizela, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over União de Leiria, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portimonense 0.7 xG, Vizela 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portimonense 30%, draw 23%, Vizela 47%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portimonense 0–1 Vizela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portimonense30%fair 3.32 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.25
Vizela47%fair 2.11 · @1.97
1.78Expected goals
0.73Portimonense xG
1.04Vizela xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–017%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Portimonense 0.7 – 1.0 Vizela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vizela to win✗
47%
2.11
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.90
Draw no bet
Vizela (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Portimonense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.77 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.04
–
First team to score
Vizela to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.65
–
Recent results
Portimonense – last 6
WLLWWL
8 Aug
@ Penafiel
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Nottingham Forest
1–2
L
15 Jul
vs Rio Ave
0–3
L
17 May
vs Farense
1–0
W
3 May
vs Chaves
3–2
W
25 Apr
@ Leixoes
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vizela – last 6
WLLLWW
9 Aug
vs União de Leiria
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Celta de Vigo II
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Leixoes
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs SC Braga B
2–3
L
18 Jul
vs Chaves
1–0
W
14 Jul
@ SC Braga
5–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portimonense and Vizela.
What is the prediction for Portimonense vs Vizela?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Portimonense vs Vizela?
On our numbers Portimonense have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vizela 47%.
How many goals will there be in Portimonense vs Vizela?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portimonense vs Vizela?
Our predicted score is Portimonense 0–1 Vizela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Portimonense vs Vizela?
Portimonense vs Vizela (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
