Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeixoes to win ✗40% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.83
Leixoes vs União de Leiria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leixoes welcome União de Leiria for a Segunda Liga fixture on Saturday 22 August (11:00 WAT). In the table, Leixoes are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; União de Leiria are 5th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Leixoes, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tondela, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
União de Leiria, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Benfica B, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leixoes, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for União de Leiria.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Leixoes 1–4 União de Leiria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leixoes 1.1 xG, União de Leiria 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leixoes 40%, draw 23%, União de Leiria 37%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.29, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leixoes 1–1 União de Leiria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leixoes40%fair 2.48 · @2.32
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.20
União de Leiria37%fair 2.72 · @2.90
2.07Expected goals
1.07Leixoes xG
1.00União de Leiria xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Leixoes 1.1 – 1.0 União de Leiria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
On our numbers Leixoes have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and União de Leiria 37%.
How many goals will there be in Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
Our predicted score is Leixoes 1–1 União de Leiria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Leixoes vs União de Leiria?
Leixoes vs União de Leiria (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
