Value bet: Lusitânia Lourosa to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTorreense to win ✗42% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Torreense travel to face Lusitânia Lourosa on Saturday 22 August in the Segunda Liga – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Torreense are 13th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Lusitânia Lourosa, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Amarante, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Torreense, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Penafiel, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lusitânia Lourosa 1.2 xG, Torreense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lusitânia Lourosa 35%, draw 23%, Torreense 42%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Lusitânia Lourosa to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 Torreense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lusitânia Lourosa35%fair 2.83 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.15
Torreense42%fair 2.40 · @2.22
2.50Expected goals
1.18Lusitânia Lourosa xG
1.32Torreense xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lusitânia Lourosa 1.2 – 1.3 Torreense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torreense to win✗
42%
2.40
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.77
Draw no bet
Torreense (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Lusitânia Lourosa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Torreense to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torreense / FT Torreense✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Lusitânia Lourosa – last 6
WWLLDD
16 Aug
@ Amarante
1–0
W
10 Aug
vs FC Porto B
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Paredes
2–4
L
1 Aug
vs Arouca
0–2
L
29 Jul
@ Leça
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs FC Porto B
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Torreense – last 6
DLLDDW
15 Aug
vs Penafiel
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Farense
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ FC Porto
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Estoril
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Benfica B
1–1
D
15 Jul
vs Academica
5–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitânia Lourosa and Torreense.
What is the prediction for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense?
On our numbers Lusitânia Lourosa have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Torreense 42%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense?
Our predicted score is Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 Torreense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense?
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
