Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Vizela to win @ 1.86 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVizela to win ✗61% · @1.86
Double chanceVizela or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Vizela vs Amarante: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Segunda Liga brings Vizela against Amarante. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Vizela are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Amarante are 14th (lower half) with 9.
Current form
Vizela, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Portimonense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Amarante, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lusitânia Lourosa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vizela 1.5 xG, Amarante 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vizela 61%, draw 23%, Amarante 17%.
Lower-risk option: Vizela or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Vizela to win @1.86 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vizela or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vizela 1–0 Amarante. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vizela61%fair 1.65 · @1.86
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.50
Amarante17%fair 6.06 · @3.75
2.15Expected goals
1.52Vizela xG
0.62Amarante xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Vizela 1.5 – 0.6 Amarante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vizela to win✗
61%
1.65
1.86 ▲
Double chance
Vizela or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.83
Draw no bet
Vizela (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Amarante +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Vizela to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vizela / FT Vizela✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.84
–
Recent results
Vizela – last 6
LWLLLW
16 Aug
@ Portimonense
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs União de Leiria
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Celta de Vigo II
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Leixoes
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs SC Braga B
2–3
L
18 Jul
vs Chaves
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Amarante – last 6
LLLLWD
16 Aug
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Tondela
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Moreirense
0–2
L
22 Jul
@ Chaves
1–2
L
10 May
vs União Santarém
1–0
W
1 May
@ Trofense
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vizela and Amarante.
Our pick is Vizela or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vizela vs Amarante?
On our numbers Vizela have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Amarante 17%.
How many goals will there be in Vizela vs Amarante?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vizela vs Amarante?
Our predicted score is Vizela 1–0 Amarante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Vizela vs Amarante?
Vizela vs Amarante (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
