Amarante 28%Draw 23%Benfica B 49%Expected goals 0.81 – 1.23
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Benfica B to win @ 2.32 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBenfica B to win ✗49% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.55
Amarante vs Benfica B: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Benfica B travel to face Amarante on Sunday 30 August in the Segunda Liga, with Amarante Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Amarante are 14th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Benfica B are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Amarante, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vizela, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Benfica B, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Portimonense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Benfica B, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Amarante.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amarante 0.8 xG, Benfica B 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amarante 28%, draw 23%, Benfica B 49%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Benfica B to win @2.32 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amarante 0–1 Benfica B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amarante28%fair 3.60 · @2.95
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.15
Benfica B49%fair 2.03 · @2.32
2.04Expected goals
0.81Amarante xG
1.23Benfica B xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–013%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Amarante 0.8 – 1.2 Benfica B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica B to win✗
49%
2.03
2.32 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.83
Draw no bet
Benfica B (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Amarante +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Benfica B to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica B / FT Benfica B✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.55
–
Recent results
Amarante – last 6
DLLLLW
22 Aug
@ Vizela
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Tondela
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Moreirense
0–2
L
22 Jul
@ Chaves
1–2
L
10 May
vs União Santarém
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Benfica B – last 6
DWWWWW
21 Aug
vs Portimonense
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ União de Leiria
2–1
W
10 Aug
vs Leixoes
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Atlético CP
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Mérida AD
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Casa Pia
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amarante and Benfica B.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Amarante vs Benfica B?
On our numbers Amarante have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Benfica B 49%.
How many goals will there be in Amarante vs Benfica B?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amarante vs Benfica B?
Our predicted score is Amarante 0–1 Benfica B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Amarante vs Benfica B?
Amarante vs Benfica B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Amarante Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
