FC Porto B vs Penafiel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Segunda Liga brings FC Porto B against Penafiel at Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, FC Porto B are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Penafiel are 1st (leading the league) with 22. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Porto B, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Feirense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Penafiel, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sporting CP B, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Porto B 1.1 xG, Penafiel 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Porto B 35%, draw 23%, Penafiel 42%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Porto B 1–1 Penafiel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Porto B35%fair 2.85 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Penafiel42%fair 2.38 · @2.38
2.40Expected goals
1.13FC Porto B xG
1.27Penafiel xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: FC Porto B 1.1 – 1.3 Penafiel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penafiel to win✓
42%
2.38
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Penafiel (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
FC Porto B +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Penafiel to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penafiel / FT Penafiel✓
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.08
–
Recent results
FC Porto B – last 6
WLLDLW
24 Aug
@ Feirense
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Farense
1–3
L
10 Aug
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
0–2
L
29 Jul
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Academica
1–3
L
4 May
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Penafiel – last 6
WDLLDL
23 Aug
vs Sporting CP B
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Torreense
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Portimonense
0–1
L
24 Jul
vs Leganes
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Famalicao
0–0
D
17 May
@ Pacos Ferreira
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Porto B and Penafiel.
What is the prediction for FC Porto B vs Penafiel?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Porto B vs Penafiel?
On our numbers FC Porto B have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Penafiel 42%.
How many goals will there be in FC Porto B vs Penafiel?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Porto B vs Penafiel?
Our predicted score is FC Porto B 1–1 Penafiel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FC Porto B vs Penafiel?
FC Porto B vs Penafiel (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
