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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Felgueiras 1932 v Chaves: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos
2–1
FT

Chaves

DLLLL
Felgueiras 1932 43%Draw 23%Chaves 34% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.10
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultFelgueiras 1932 to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.90

Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Felgueiras 1932 v Chaves in the Segunda Liga, played at Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos. In the table, Felgueiras 1932 are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Chaves are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Felgueiras 1932, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Farense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Chaves, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with AVS, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Felgueiras 1932, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Chaves.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Felgueiras 1932 1.3 xG, Chaves 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Felgueiras 1932 43%, draw 23%, Chaves 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Felgueiras 1932 1–1 Chaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Felgueiras 193243%fair 2.32 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.15
Chaves34%fair 2.95 · @3.05
2.40Expected goals
1.29Felgueiras 1932 xG
1.10Chaves xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Felgueiras 1932 1.3 – 1.1 Chaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFelgueiras 1932 to win ✓43%2.322.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.80
Draw no betFelgueiras 1932 (draw no bet) ✓56%1.79–
Asian handicapChaves +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreFelgueiras 1932 to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Felgueiras 1932 / FT Felgueiras 1932 ✓24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%11.90–

Recent results

Felgueiras 1932 – last 6

DDDWDD
24 Aug@ Farense1–1D
17 Augvs AVS1–1D
9 Aug@ Feirense0–0D
1 Augvs Moreirense2–1W
29 Jul@ Pacos Ferreira0–0D
22 Jul@ Santa Clara1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Chaves – last 6

DLLLLW
23 Augvs AVS2–2D
15 Aug@ Sporting CP B0–1L
8 Augvs Academica1–4L
1 Aug@ Guimaraes0–2L
25 Julvs Guimaraes B2–3L
22 Julvs Amarante2–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Felgueiras 1932 and Chaves.

Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves?

On our numbers Felgueiras 1932 have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chaves 34%.

How many goals will there be in Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves?

Our predicted score is Felgueiras 1932 1–1 Chaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves?

Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.