Value bet: AVS to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFarense to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.81
AVS vs Farense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: AVS v Farense in the Segunda Liga. In the table, AVS are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Farense are 8th (upper half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AVS, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lusitânia Lourosa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Farense, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sporting CP B, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AVS 1.3 xG, Farense 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AVS 36%, draw 24%, Farense 40%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: AVS to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: AVS 1–1 Farense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AVS36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Farense40%fair 2.53 · @2.30
2.67Expected goals
1.30AVS xG
1.37Farense xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: AVS 1.3 – 1.4 Farense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Farense to win✗
40%
2.53
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
Farense (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
AVS +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Farense to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Farense / FT Farense✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
AVS – last 6
LWDDLD
7 Sep
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Feirense
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Chaves
2–2
D
17 Aug
@ Felgueiras 1932
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Sporting CP B
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Trofense
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Farense – last 6
LDWWLD
30 Aug
@ Sporting CP B
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ FC Porto B
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Torreense
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Fulham
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Benfica B
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AVS and Farense.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win AVS vs Farense?
On our numbers AVS have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Farense 40%.
How many goals will there be in AVS vs Farense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AVS vs Farense?
Our predicted score is AVS 1–1 Farense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AVS vs Farense?
AVS vs Farense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
