Amarante vs União de Leiria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Segunda Liga brings Amarante against União de Leiria at Amarante Stadium. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Amarante are 14th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; União de Leiria are 5th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Amarante, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Leixoes, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
União de Leiria, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Portimonense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours União de Leiria, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Amarante.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amarante 1.0 xG, União de Leiria 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amarante 32%, draw 24%, União de Leiria 44%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amarante 1–1 União de Leiria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amarante32%fair 3.13 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
União de Leiria44%fair 2.29 · @2.40
2.20Expected goals
0.98Amarante xG
1.22União de Leiria xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Amarante 1.0 – 1.2 União de Leiria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win✗
44%
2.29
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.75
Draw no bet
União de Leiria (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Amarante +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
União de Leiria to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.40
–
Recent results
Amarante – last 6
LWDLLL
6 Sep
@ Leixoes
1–3
L
30 Aug
vs Benfica B
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Vizela
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Tondela
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Moreirense
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
União de Leiria – last 6
WWWLLL
6 Sep
vs Portimonense
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Tondela
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Leixoes
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Benfica B
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Vizela
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Las Palmas
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amarante and União de Leiria.
What is the prediction for Amarante vs União de Leiria?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Amarante vs União de Leiria?
On our numbers Amarante have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and União de Leiria 44%.
How many goals will there be in Amarante vs União de Leiria?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amarante vs União de Leiria?
Our predicted score is Amarante 1–1 União de Leiria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Amarante vs União de Leiria?
Amarante vs União de Leiria (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Amarante Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
