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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chaves v Feirense: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio Municipal de Chaves

Chaves

LDLLL
1–0
FT
Chaves 47%Draw 23%Feirense 30% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.00
51%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultChaves to win ✓47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59

Chaves vs Feirense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Feirense travel to face Chaves on Sunday 13 September in the Segunda Liga, with Estadio Municipal de Chaves the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Chaves are 17th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Feirense are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Chaves, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Felgueiras 1932, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Feirense, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sporting CP B, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended Feirense 1–0 Chaves.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chaves 1.3 xG, Feirense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chaves 47%, draw 23%, Feirense 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chaves 1–1 Feirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chaves47%fair 2.14 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Feirense30%fair 3.33 · @3.40
2.33Expected goals
1.33Chaves xG
1.00Feirense xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Chaves 1.3 – 1.0 Feirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChaves to win ✓47%2.142.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.971.85
Draw no betChaves (draw no bet) ✓61%1.64–
Asian handicapFeirense +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreChaves to score first ✓52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chaves / FT Chaves ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.59–

Recent results

Chaves – last 6

LDLLLL
30 Aug@ Felgueiras 19321–2L
23 Augvs AVS2–2D
15 Aug@ Sporting CP B0–1L
8 Augvs Academica1–4L
1 Aug@ Guimaraes0–2L
25 Julvs Guimaraes B2–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Feirense – last 6

LLLLDD
5 Sepvs Sporting CP B1–3L
30 Aug@ AVS0–2L
24 Augvs FC Porto B0–1L
14 Aug@ Academica0–1L
9 Augvs Felgueiras 19320–0D
1 Aug@ União Lamas2–2D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Feb 2026Feirense v Chaves1–0
Chaves vs Feirense head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chaves vs Feirense?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Chaves vs Feirense?

On our numbers Chaves have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Feirense 30%.

How many goals will there be in Chaves vs Feirense?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chaves vs Feirense?

Our predicted score is Chaves 1–1 Feirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Chaves vs Feirense?

Chaves vs Feirense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Chaves.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.