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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leixoes v FC Porto B: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio do Mar

Leixoes

WDWWL
1–2
FT
Leixoes 63%Draw 24%FC Porto B 12% Expected goals 1.86 – 0.72
63%
Betarazi pick

Leixoes to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultLeixoes to win ✗63% · @1.55
Double chanceLeixoes or draw ✗88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.08

Leixoes vs FC Porto B: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Porto B travel to face Leixoes on Saturday 10 October in the Segunda Liga, with Estadio do Mar the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Leixoes are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; FC Porto B are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Leixoes, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Cinfães, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

FC Porto B, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vizela, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Leixoes, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for FC Porto B.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Apr 2026) it ended FC Porto B 0–3 Leixoes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leixoes 1.9 xG, FC Porto B 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leixoes 63%, draw 24%, FC Porto B 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: Leixoes or draw (88%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Leixoes to win (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leixoes 1–0 FC Porto B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leixoes63%fair 1.58 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.70
FC Porto B12%fair 8.02 · @5.00
2.58Expected goals
1.86Leixoes xG
0.72FC Porto B xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Leixoes 1.9 – 0.7 FC Porto B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeixoes to win ✗63%1.581.55
Double chanceLeixoes or draw ✗88%1.141.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.881.85
Draw no betLeixoes (draw no bet) ✗84%1.20–
Asian handicapLeixoes -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreLeixoes to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultLeixoes ahead at half-time ✗46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leixoes / FT Leixoes ✗41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.08–

Recent results

Leixoes – last 6

WDWWLW
20 Sep@ Cinfães4–0W
11 Sep@ Torreense0–0D
6 Sepvs Amarante3–1W
29 Aug@ Portimonense2–0W
22 Augvs União de Leiria2–4L
16 Augvs Tondela1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Porto B – last 6

DLLWLL
14 Sepvs Vizela2–2D
5 Sep@ Tondela0–3L
30 Augvs Penafiel0–3L
24 Aug@ Feirense1–0W
16 Augvs Farense1–3L
10 Aug@ Lusitânia Lourosa0–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Apr 2026FC Porto B v Leixoes0–3
Leixoes vs FC Porto B head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leixoes vs FC Porto B?

Our pick is Leixoes to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Leixoes vs FC Porto B?

On our numbers Leixoes have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Porto B 12%.

How many goals will there be in Leixoes vs FC Porto B?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leixoes vs FC Porto B?

Our predicted score is Leixoes 1–0 FC Porto B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Leixoes vs FC Porto B?

Leixoes vs FC Porto B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Mar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.