Tondela vs Torreense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Tondela v Torreense in the Segunda Liga, played at Estádio João Cardoso. In the table, Tondela are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Torreense are 13th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Tondela, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Imortal Albufeira, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Torreense, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lillestrom, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tondela 1.3 xG, Torreense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tondela 42%, draw 24%, Torreense 33%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tondela 1–1 Torreense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tondela42%fair 2.36 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Torreense33%fair 3.01 · @3.00
2.42Expected goals
1.30Tondela xG
1.12Torreense xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Tondela 1.3 – 1.1 Torreense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tondela to win✓
42%
2.36
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Draw no bet
Tondela (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Torreense +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Tondela to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tondela / FT Tondela✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Tondela – last 6
WWWLLL
19 Sep
@ Imortal Albufeira
5–1
W
12 Sep
@ Portimonense
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs FC Porto B
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ União de Leiria
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Academica
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Leixoes
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Torreense – last 6
WDWLDD
17 Sep
@ Lillestrom
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Leixoes
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Benfica B
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Vizela
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Penafiel
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tondela and Torreense.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Tondela vs Torreense?
On our numbers Tondela have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Torreense 33%.
How many goals will there be in Tondela vs Torreense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tondela vs Torreense?
Our predicted score is Tondela 1–1 Torreense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tondela vs Torreense?
Tondela vs Torreense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio João Cardoso.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
