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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Farense v Feirense: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estádio de São Luís

Farense

WWDLD
2–1
FT
Farense 61%Draw 22%Feirense 16% Expected goals 1.50 – 0.58
61%
Betarazi pick

Farense to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultFarense to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceFarense or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.35

Farense vs Feirense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 11 October the Segunda Liga brings Farense against Feirense at Estádio de São Luís. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Farense are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Feirense are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5.

Current form

Farense, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Chaves, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Feirense, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Salgueiros, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Farense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.0 for Feirense.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Farense 0–1 Feirense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Farense 1.5 xG, Feirense 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Farense 61%, draw 22%, Feirense 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Farense or draw (84%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Farense to win (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Farense 1–0 Feirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Farense61%fair 1.63 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.25
Feirense16%fair 6.18 · @4.50
2.08Expected goals
1.50Farense xG
0.58Feirense xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%

From our goals model: Farense 1.5 – 0.6 Feirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFarense to win ✓61%1.631.73 ▲
Double chanceFarense or draw ✓84%1.191.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.961.80
Draw no betFarense (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapFeirense +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.63–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.53–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreFarense to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Farense / FT Farense ✓36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.35–

Recent results

Farense – last 6

WWDLDW
4 Octvs Chaves4–0W
20 Sep@ Sacavenense1–0W
13 Sep@ AVS0–0D
30 Aug@ Sporting CP B1–2L
24 Augvs Felgueiras 19321–1D
16 Aug@ FC Porto B3–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Feirense – last 6

LLLLLL
19 Sep@ Salgueiros0–1L
13 Sep@ Chaves0–1L
5 Sepvs Sporting CP B1–3L
30 Aug@ AVS0–2L
24 Augvs FC Porto B0–1L
14 Aug@ Academica0–1L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Farense v Feirense0–1
Farense vs Feirense head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Farense vs Feirense?

Our pick is Farense to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Farense vs Feirense?

On our numbers Farense have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Feirense 16%.

How many goals will there be in Farense vs Feirense?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Farense vs Feirense?

Our predicted score is Farense 1–0 Feirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Farense vs Feirense?

Farense vs Feirense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio de São Luís.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.