Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.98
AVS vs Tondela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tondela travel to face AVS on Sunday 25 October in the Segunda Liga, with Estádio do CD das Aves the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, AVS are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Tondela are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AVS, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Moreirense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Tondela, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Alverca, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AVS 0.7 xG, Tondela 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AVS 25%, draw 21%, Tondela 54%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tondela to win (54%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AVS 0–1 Tondela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AVS25%fair 4.03 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.10
Tondela54%fair 1.84 · @1.91
2.07Expected goals
0.75AVS xG
1.32Tondela xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–013%
1–112%
0–211%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: AVS 0.7 – 1.3 Tondela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tondela to win✗
54%
1.84
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.35 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
Tondela (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
AVS +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Tondela to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tondela / FT Tondela✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.98
–
Recent results
AVS – last 6
WWWDLW
17 Oct
vs Moreirense
1–0
W
9 Oct
@ Penafiel
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Sintrense
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Farense
0–0
D
7 Sep
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Feirense
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tondela – last 6
DWWWWL
18 Oct
vs Alverca
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Torreense
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Imortal Albufeira
5–1
W
12 Sep
@ Portimonense
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs FC Porto B
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ União de Leiria
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AVS and Tondela.
Our pick is Tondela to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win AVS vs Tondela?
On our numbers AVS have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tondela 54%.
How many goals will there be in AVS vs Tondela?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AVS vs Tondela?
Our predicted score is AVS 0–1 Tondela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is AVS vs Tondela?
AVS vs Tondela (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do CD das Aves.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
