Value bet: Lusitânia Lourosa to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.83
Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Felgueiras 1932 v Lusitânia Lourosa in the Segunda Liga, played at Estadio Dr. Machado de Matos. In the table, Felgueiras 1932 are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Felgueiras 1932, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fafe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Lusitânia Lourosa, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Os Limianos, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Lusitânia Lourosa, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Felgueiras 1932.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Felgueiras 1932 1.0 xG, Lusitânia Lourosa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Felgueiras 1932 36%, draw 24%, Lusitânia Lourosa 40%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Lusitânia Lourosa to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Felgueiras 1932 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Felgueiras 193236%fair 2.79 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.88
Lusitânia Lourosa40%fair 2.52 · @2.70
2.07Expected goals
1.00Felgueiras 1932 xG
1.07Lusitânia Lourosa xG
54%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Felgueiras 1932 1.0 – 1.1 Lusitânia Lourosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitânia Lourosa to win✗
40%
2.52
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
Lusitânia Lourosa (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Felgueiras 1932 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Lusitânia Lourosa to score first
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.83
–
Recent results
Felgueiras 1932 – last 6
WLWLLW
18 Oct
vs Fafe
1–0
W
12 Oct
@ Benfica B
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Naval 1893
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Penafiel
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Vizela
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Chaves
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lusitânia Lourosa – last 6
WDWWWW
18 Oct
vs Os Limianos
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Chaves
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Madalena
3–1
W
14 Sep
@ Sporting CP B
2–1
W
7 Sep
vs AVS
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Academica
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Felgueiras 1932 and Lusitânia Lourosa.
What is the prediction for Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
On our numbers Felgueiras 1932 have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lusitânia Lourosa 40%.
How many goals will there be in Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Our predicted score is Felgueiras 1932 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Dr. Machado de Matos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
