FC Porto B 18%Draw 26%União de Leiria 56%Expected goals 0.97 – 1.82
82%
Betarazi pick
União de Leiria or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: União de Leiria to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnião de Leiria to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceUnião de Leiria or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13
FC Porto B vs União de Leiria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
União de Leiria travel to face FC Porto B on Sunday 25 October in the Segunda Liga, with Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, FC Porto B are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; União de Leiria are 5th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
FC Porto B, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leixoes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
União de Leiria, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bragança, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours União de Leiria, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for FC Porto B.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended União de Leiria 2–2 FC Porto B.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Porto B 1.0 xG, União de Leiria 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Porto B 18%, draw 26%, União de Leiria 56%.
Lower-risk option: União de Leiria or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: União de Leiria to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was União de Leiria or draw (82%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Porto B 0–1 União de Leiria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Porto B18%fair 5.43 · @3.60
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.25
União de Leiria56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
2.79Expected goals
0.97FC Porto B xG
1.82União de Leiria xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
0–06%
From our goals model: FC Porto B 1.0 – 1.8 União de Leiria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Porto B vs União de Leiria?
Our pick is União de Leiria or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Porto B vs União de Leiria?
On our numbers FC Porto B have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 26% and União de Leiria 56%.
How many goals will there be in FC Porto B vs União de Leiria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Porto B vs União de Leiria?
Our predicted score is FC Porto B 0–1 União de Leiria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Porto B vs União de Leiria?
FC Porto B vs União de Leiria (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
