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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Academica v Amarante: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra
1–1
FT
Academica 47%Draw 22%Amarante 31% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.12
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.27Odds

Picks by market

ResultAcademica to win ✗47% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05

Academica vs Amarante: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 7 November the Segunda Liga brings Academica against Amarante at Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Academica are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Amarante are 14th (lower half) with 9.

Current form

Academica, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vizela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Amarante, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Porto B, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Academica, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Amarante.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Oct 2026) it ended Academica 3–2 Amarante. The last 2 head-to-heads: Academica 1 win, Amarante 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Academica 1.5 xG, Amarante 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Academica 47%, draw 22%, Amarante 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.78.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Academica 1–1 Amarante. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Academica47%fair 2.14 · @2.04
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.30
Amarante31%fair 3.24 · @3.42
2.58Expected goals
1.46Academica xG
1.12Amarante xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Academica 1.5 – 1.1 Amarante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAcademica to win ✗47%2.142.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.78
Draw no betAcademica (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapAmarante +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.76
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.24
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.141.04
First team to scoreAcademica to score first ✓52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Academica / FT Academica ✗27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.05–

Recent results

Academica – last 6

LWWWWL
1 Nov@ Vizela1–2L
24 Octvs Leixoes4–0W
17 Octvs Amarante3–2W
11 Oct@ União de Leiria2–0W
18 Sep@ Real4–1W
11 Sepvs Benfica B0–3L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Amarante – last 6

WLLLWD
31 Octvs FC Porto B2–1W
26 Oct@ Torreense0–1L
17 Oct@ Academica2–3L
10 Octvs Portimonense1–2L
20 Sep@ Ponte da Barca2–0W
13 Sepvs União de Leiria2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Oct 2026Academica v Amarante3–2
29 Mar 2026Amarante v Academica1–1
Academica vs Amarante head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Academica vs Amarante?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win Academica vs Amarante?

On our numbers Academica have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Amarante 31%.

How many goals will there be in Academica vs Amarante?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Academica vs Amarante?

Our predicted score is Academica 1–1 Amarante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Academica vs Amarante?

Academica vs Amarante (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.