Value bet: Leixoes to win @ 2.74 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeixoes to win ✗39% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.47
Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Felgueiras 1932 welcome Leixoes to Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos for a Segunda Liga fixture on Saturday 7 November (12:00 WAT). In the table, Felgueiras 1932 are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Leixoes are 12th (lower half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Felgueiras 1932, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Tondela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Leixoes, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sporting CP B, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Felgueiras 1932, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Leixoes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Felgueiras 1932 1.2 xG, Leixoes 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Felgueiras 1932 38%, draw 23%, Leixoes 39%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Leixoes to win @2.74 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Felgueiras 1932 1–1 Leixoes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Felgueiras 193238%fair 2.63 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.12
Leixoes39%fair 2.58 · @2.74
2.47Expected goals
1.23Felgueiras 1932 xG
1.24Leixoes xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Felgueiras 1932 1.2 – 1.2 Leixoes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leixoes to win✗
39%
2.58
2.74 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.83
Draw no bet
Leixoes (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Felgueiras 1932 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
1.04
First team to score
Leixoes to score first
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leixoes / FT Leixoes✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.47
–
Recent results
Felgueiras 1932 – last 6
LDWLWL
1 Nov
@ Tondela
2–3
L
25 Oct
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
2–2
D
18 Oct
vs Fafe
1–0
W
12 Oct
@ Benfica B
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Naval 1893
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Penafiel
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Leixoes – last 6
LLLLWD
31 Oct
vs Sporting CP B
1–2
L
24 Oct
@ Academica
0–4
L
17 Oct
@ Vianense
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs FC Porto B
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Cinfães
4–0
W
11 Sep
@ Torreense
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Felgueiras 1932 and Leixoes.
What is the prediction for Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes?
On our numbers Felgueiras 1932 have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leixoes 39%.
How many goals will there be in Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes?
Our predicted score is Felgueiras 1932 1–1 Leixoes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes?
Felgueiras 1932 vs Leixoes (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
