Value bet: Spartak Kostroma to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✓48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Chelyabinsk v Spartak Kostroma in the First League, played at Central Stadium. In the table, Chelyabinsk are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; Spartak Kostroma are 6th (upper half) with 28.
Current form
Chelyabinsk, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Sochi, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Spartak Kostroma, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rotor Volgograd, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Spartak Kostroma, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Chelyabinsk.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Chelyabinsk 3–3 Spartak Kostroma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelyabinsk 1.1 xG, Spartak Kostroma 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelyabinsk 29%, draw 23%, Spartak Kostroma 48%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Spartak Kostroma to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelyabinsk 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelyabinsk29%fair 3.39 · @3.08
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.22
Spartak Kostroma48%fair 2.10 · @2.25
2.67Expected goals
1.14Chelyabinsk xG
1.54Spartak Kostroma xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chelyabinsk 1.1 – 1.5 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
On our numbers Chelyabinsk have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spartak Kostroma 48%.
How many goals will there be in Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our predicted score is Chelyabinsk 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
