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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shinnik Yaroslavl v Rotor Volgograd: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Stadion Shinnik
Shinnik Yaroslavl 37%Draw 25%Rotor Volgograd 38% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.21
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.49Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.03 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRotor Volgograd to win ✗38% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.37
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.03
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.67

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rotor Volgograd: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rotor Volgograd travel to face Shinnik Yaroslavl on Saturday 5 September in the First League, with Stadion Shinnik the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th, upper half, on 26 points after 17 matches; Rotor Volgograd are 10th (lower half) with 21.

Current form

Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Enisey, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Rotor Volgograd, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Spartak Kostroma, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Shinnik Yaroslavl, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Rotor Volgograd.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.2 xG, Rotor Volgograd 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shinnik Yaroslavl 37%, draw 25%, Rotor Volgograd 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.03.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.03 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 Rotor Volgograd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shinnik Yaroslavl37%fair 2.68 · @2.82
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.88
Rotor Volgograd38%fair 2.65 · @2.65
2.42Expected goals
1.20Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
1.21Rotor Volgograd xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.2 – 1.2 Rotor Volgograd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRotor Volgograd to win ✗38%2.652.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.37
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.802.03 ▲
Draw no betRotor Volgograd (draw no bet)50%1.99–
Asian handicapShinnik Yaroslavl +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.511.49
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.681.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.261.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreRotor Volgograd to score first46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rotor Volgograd / FT Rotor Volgograd ✗21%4.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.67–

Recent results

Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6

DWWDLD
30 Aug@ Enisey0–0D
22 Aug@ Volga Ulyanovsk3–1W
14 Aug@ FK Neftekhimik2–0W
8 Augvs Arsenal Tula2–2D
2 Aug@ Nizhny Novgorod0–3L
26 Jul@ Torpedo Moskva1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rotor Volgograd – last 6

LLLDWL
31 Aug@ Spartak Kostroma0–1L
24 Augvs FK Neftekhimik0–1L
20 Aug@ Arsenal Tula1–2L
14 Augvs Ural1–1D
9 Augvs Chelyabinsk4–1W
3 Aug@ Veles1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Shinnik Yaroslavl and Rotor Volgograd.

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rotor Volgograd head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rotor Volgograd?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.

Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rotor Volgograd?

On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rotor Volgograd 38%.

How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rotor Volgograd?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rotor Volgograd?

Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 Rotor Volgograd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rotor Volgograd?

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Rotor Volgograd (First League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Shinnik.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.