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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Volga Ulyanovsk v Arsenal Tula: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Trud Stadium
3–0
FT
Volga Ulyanovsk 41%Draw 23%Arsenal Tula 36% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.23
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultVolga Ulyanovsk to win ✓41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.80

Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 5 September the First League brings Volga Ulyanovsk against Arsenal Tula at Trud Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 18 matches; Arsenal Tula are 12th (lower half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Volga Ulyanovsk, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Nizhny Novgorod, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Arsenal Tula, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ural, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jun 2026) it ended Arsenal Tula 1–2 Volga Ulyanovsk. The last 2 head-to-heads: Volga Ulyanovsk 2 wins, Arsenal Tula 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Volga Ulyanovsk 1.3 xG, Arsenal Tula 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Volga Ulyanovsk 41%, draw 23%, Arsenal Tula 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Arsenal Tula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Volga Ulyanovsk41%fair 2.43 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.18
Arsenal Tula36%fair 2.79 · @2.80
2.58Expected goals
1.35Volga Ulyanovsk xG
1.23Arsenal Tula xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.3 – 1.2 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVolga Ulyanovsk to win ✓41%2.432.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.31
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.891.83
Draw no betVolga Ulyanovsk (draw no bet) ✓54%1.87–
Asian handicapArsenal Tula +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.03
First team to scoreVolga Ulyanovsk to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Volga Ulyanovsk / FT Volga Ulyanovsk ✓23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.80–

Recent results

Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6

DLLWLW
30 Aug@ Nizhny Novgorod2–2D
22 Augvs Shinnik Yaroslavl1–3L
16 Aug@ FC Sochi0–1L
9 Aug@ KAMAZ2–1W
2 Augvs Chelyabinsk0–2L
25 Julvs FK Neftekhimik2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Arsenal Tula – last 6

DLWDDW
29 Augvs Ural2–2D
24 Aug@ Veles0–2L
20 Augvs Rotor Volgograd2–1W
15 Aug@ Leningradets0–0D
8 Aug@ Shinnik Yaroslavl2–2D
2 Augvs Torpedo Moskva1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jun 2026Arsenal Tula v Volga Ulyanovsk1–2
9 Mar 2026Arsenal Tula v Volga Ulyanovsk0–1
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula?

On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arsenal Tula 36%.

How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula?

Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula?

Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula (First League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.