Double chanceSpartak Kostroma or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.03
Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Monday 14 September: Spartak Kostroma v FK Neftekhimik in the First League, played at Stadion Urozhay. In the table, Spartak Kostroma are 6th, upper half, on 28 points after 17 matches; FK Neftekhimik are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Spartak Kostroma, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ryazan, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FK Neftekhimik, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chertanovo Moscow, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Spartak Kostroma, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for FK Neftekhimik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Kostroma 1.7 xG, FK Neftekhimik 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Kostroma 61%, draw 23%, FK Neftekhimik 16%.
Lower-risk option: Spartak Kostroma or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.92.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Kostroma 1–0 FK Neftekhimik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Kostroma61%fair 1.64 · @1.69
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.58
FK Neftekhimik16%fair 6.31 · @4.80
2.35Expected goals
1.65Spartak Kostroma xG
0.69FK Neftekhimik xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.7 – 0.7 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Kostroma to win✓
61%
1.64
1.69
Double chance
Spartak Kostroma or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.92
Draw no bet
Spartak Kostroma (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Kostroma -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.05
First team to score
Spartak Kostroma to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.03
–
Recent results
Spartak Kostroma – last 6
WWWLDW
8 Sep
@ Ryazan
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Chelyabinsk
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Rotor Volgograd
1–0
W
21 Aug
@ Torpedo Moskva
0–3
L
17 Aug
vs FC UFA
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Ska-khabarovsk
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
DWLWLL
9 Sep
@ Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Enisey
2–0
W
28 Aug
vs FC UFA
0–1
L
24 Aug
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs FC Sochi
1–2
L
14 Aug
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Kostroma and FK Neftekhimik.
What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik?
On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FK Neftekhimik 16%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 1–0 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik?
Spartak Kostroma vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
