Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.24Odds
2
Value bet: FC Sochi to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Sochi to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceFC Sochi or draw ✓81% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.30
Veles vs FC Sochi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Monday 14 September: Veles v FC Sochi in the First League, played at Avangard Stadium. In the table, Veles are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 18 matches; FC Sochi are 4th (among the top four) with 32. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Veles, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Murom, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
FC Sochi, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dinamo St. Petersburg, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Veles 0.9 xG, FC Sochi 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Veles 19%, draw 21%, FC Sochi 60%.
Lower-risk option: FC Sochi or draw (81%) at 1.24.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.84.
Price worth noting: FC Sochi to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Sochi or draw (81%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Veles 0–1 FC Sochi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Veles19%fair 5.16 · @3.74
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.34
FC Sochi60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
2.63Expected goals
0.86Veles xG
1.76FC Sochi xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Veles 0.9 – 1.8 FC Sochi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Sochi to win✓
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
FC Sochi or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.84
Draw no bet
FC Sochi (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Veles +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.03
First team to score
FC Sochi to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
FC Sochi ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Veles – last 6
LDWWWL
9 Sep
@ Murom
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ FC UFA
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Tekstilshchik
1–0
W
24 Aug
vs Arsenal Tula
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs Nizhny Novgorod
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Ska-khabarovsk
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
FC Sochi – last 6
LLWWWW
9 Sep
@ Dinamo St. Petersburg
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Nizhny Novgorod
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Chelyabinsk
2–1
W
24 Aug
@ KAMAZ
3–2
W
20 Aug
@ FK Neftekhimik
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Veles and FC Sochi.
Our pick is FC Sochi or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Veles vs FC Sochi?
On our numbers Veles have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Sochi 60%.
How many goals will there be in Veles vs FC Sochi?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Veles vs FC Sochi?
Our predicted score is Veles 0–1 FC Sochi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Veles vs FC Sochi?
Veles vs FC Sochi (First League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Avangard Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
