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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shinnik Yaroslavl v Ural: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Stadion Shinnik
1–1
FT

Ural

LWDWD
Shinnik Yaroslavl 28%Draw 23%Ural 49% Expected goals 1.01 – 1.45
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultUral to win ✗49% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.02

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shinnik Yaroslavl welcome Ural to Stadion Shinnik for a First League fixture on Monday 14 September (16:30 WAT). In the table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th, upper half, on 26 points after 17 matches; Ural are 2nd (among the top four) with 34.

Current form

Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Torpedo Moskva, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ural, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Luki-Energiya, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Ural 0–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.0 xG, Ural 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shinnik Yaroslavl 28%, draw 23%, Ural 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.86.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 Ural. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shinnik Yaroslavl28%fair 3.55 · @3.42
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.22
Ural49%fair 2.04 · @2.10
2.46Expected goals
1.01Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
1.45Ural xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–09%
0–09%

From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.0 – 1.5 Ural expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUral to win ✗49%2.042.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.31
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.981.86
Draw no betUral (draw no bet)64%1.57–
Asian handicapShinnik Yaroslavl +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.04
First team to scoreUral to score first54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ural / FT Ural ✗28%3.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.02–

Recent results

Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6

WDDWWD
10 Sepvs Torpedo Moskva2–0W
5 Sepvs Rotor Volgograd2–2D
30 Aug@ Enisey0–0D
22 Aug@ Volga Ulyanovsk3–1W
14 Aug@ FK Neftekhimik2–0W
8 Augvs Arsenal Tula2–2D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ural – last 6

LWDWDW
10 Sep@ Luki-Energiya1–2L
6 Sepvs KAMAZ2–0W
29 Aug@ Arsenal Tula2–2D
22 Augvs Tekstilshchik2–0W
14 Aug@ Rotor Volgograd1–1D
8 Augvs FC UFA3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 May 2026Ural v Shinnik Yaroslavl0–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural?

On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ural 49%.

How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural?

Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 Ural, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural?

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural (First League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Shinnik.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.