Tekstilshchik v Chelyabinsk Prediction & Expected Goals (18 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultChelyabinsk to win ✗48% · @2.27

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.84

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.45

Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Tekstilshchik v Chelyabinsk in the First League, played at Tekstilshchik Stadium. In the table, Tekstilshchik are 18th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 17 matches; Chelyabinsk are 11th (lower half) with 21.

Current form

Tekstilshchik, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chertanovo Moscow, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Chelyabinsk, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Spartak Kostroma, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Chelyabinsk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Tekstilshchik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tekstilshchik 1.1 xG, Chelyabinsk 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Tekstilshchik 29%, draw 23%, Chelyabinsk 48%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.84.
Price worth noting: Chelyabinsk to win @2.27 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tekstilshchik 1–1 Chelyabinsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tekstilshchik29%fair 3.42 · @2.99

Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.22

Chelyabinsk48%fair 2.08 · @2.27

2.51Expected goals

1.06Tekstilshchik xG

1.45Chelyabinsk xG

47%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–112%

1–29%

1–09%

0–29%

0–08%

From our goals model: Tekstilshchik 1.1 – 1.5 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Chelyabinsk to win ✗	48%	2.08	2.27 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.30
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	53%	1.89	1.84
Draw no bet	Chelyabinsk (draw no bet) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Asian handicap	Tekstilshchik +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.81	1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.13	1.02
First team to score	Chelyabinsk to score first ✗	53%	1.88	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Chelyabinsk / FT Chelyabinsk ✗	27%	3.66	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	12%	8.45	–

Tekstilshchik – last 6

LLLDWL

14 Oct	@ Chertanovo Moscow	1–2	L
10 Oct	@ Shinnik Yaroslavl	0–2	L
17 Sep	vs Rotor Volgograd	0–2	L
13 Sep	@ Leningradets	2–2	D
8 Sep	vs Arsenal Tula	1–0	W
4 Sep	vs Torpedo Moskva	1–4	L

0.8Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Chelyabinsk – last 6

LWDWDW

13 Oct	@ Spartak Kostroma	0–1	L
9 Oct	@ FK Neftekhimik	4–2	W
26 Sep	vs Enisey	1–1	D
18 Sep	vs FC UFA	2–1	W
14 Sep	@ KAMAZ	1–1	D
10 Sep	@ Dinamo Barnaul	2–0	W

1.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	17	15	1	1	+37	46
2	Ural	17	10	4	3	+18	34
3	Torpedo Moskva	17	9	5	3	+16	32
4	FC Sochi	17	10	2	5	+6	32
5	Veles	18	9	4	5	+2	31
6	Spartak Kostroma	17	8	4	5	+2	28
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	17	6	8	3	+4	26
8	FC UFA	17	5	7	5	+2	22
9	Volga Ulyanovsk	18	6	4	8	-3	22
10	Rotor Volgograd	17	5	6	6	+5	21
11	Chelyabinsk	17	6	3	8	-4	21
12	Arsenal Tula	17	5	4	8	-15	19
13	Leningradets	17	4	6	7	-11	18
14	Enisey	17	4	5	8	-14	17
15	Ska-khabarovsk	17	4	4	9	-5	16
16	KAMAZ	17	3	5	9	-9	14
17	FK Neftekhimik	17	4	1	12	-14	13
18	Tekstilshchik	17	2	5	10	-17	11

Team

Pts

+37

+18

+16

-3

-4

-15

-11

-14

-5

-9

-14

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?

On our numbers Tekstilshchik have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chelyabinsk 48%.

How many goals will there be in Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?

Our predicted score is Tekstilshchik 1–1 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk?

Tekstilshchik vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Tekstilshchik Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Tekstilshchik v Chelyabinsk: numbers & prediction