Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.08 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVeles to win ✗41% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.08
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shinnik Yaroslavl travel to face Veles on Sunday 18 October in the First League, with Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo) the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Veles are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 18 matches; Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Veles, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ural, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Nizhny Novgorod, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Veles 1.2 xG, Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Veles 41%, draw 24%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 34%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.08.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.08 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Veles 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Veles41%fair 2.41 · @2.32
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.02
Shinnik Yaroslavl34%fair 2.91 · @3.08
2.31Expected goals
1.23Veles xG
1.08Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Veles 1.2 – 1.1 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Veles to win✗
41%
2.41
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.08 ▲
Draw no bet
Veles (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Shinnik Yaroslavl +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Veles to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Veles / FT Veles✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.35
–
Recent results
Veles – last 6
WLDLLD
10 Oct
@ Ural
2–1
W
4 Oct
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–2
L
17 Sep
@ Torpedo Moskva
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs FC Sochi
1–2
L
9 Sep
@ Murom
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ FC UFA
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
LWDLDW
14 Oct
@ Nizhny Novgorod
0–4
L
10 Oct
vs Tekstilshchik
2–0
W
27 Sep
vs Ska-khabarovsk
0–0
D
18 Sep
vs KAMAZ
0–1
L
14 Sep
vs Ural
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Veles and Shinnik Yaroslavl.
What is the prediction for Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers Veles have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 34%.
How many goals will there be in Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is Veles 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
