Value bet: Nizhny Novgorod to win @ 2.68 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓41% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.57
Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ural welcome Nizhny Novgorod to Central Stadium(Yekaterinburg) for a First League fixture on Sunday 18 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Ural are 2nd, among the top four, on 34 points after 17 matches; Nizhny Novgorod are 1st (leading the league) with 46. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ural, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Veles, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Nizhny Novgorod, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Shinnik Yaroslavl, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Nizhny Novgorod, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Ural.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ural 1.4 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ural 36%, draw 23%, Nizhny Novgorod 41%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.81.
Price worth noting: Nizhny Novgorod to win @2.68 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ural 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ural36%fair 2.74 · @2.49
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.22
Nizhny Novgorod41%fair 2.45 · @2.68
2.86Expected goals
1.38Ural xG
1.48Nizhny Novgorod xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Ural 1.4 – 1.5 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✓
41%
2.45
2.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.81
Draw no bet
Nizhny Novgorod (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Ural +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.04
First team to score
Nizhny Novgorod to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Ural – last 6
LWWDLW
10 Oct
vs Veles
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Spartak Kostroma
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ FK Neftekhimik
1–0
W
14 Sep
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1
D
10 Sep
@ Luki-Energiya
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs KAMAZ
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WWWWWW
14 Oct
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
4–0
W
10 Oct
vs Enisey
5–0
W
17 Sep
vs Leningradets
6–0
W
13 Sep
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–1
W
9 Sep
@ Dinamo Stavropol
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ FC Sochi
1–0
W
3.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ural and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers Ural have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nizhny Novgorod 41%.
How many goals will there be in Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is Ural 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Ural vs Nizhny Novgorod (First League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium(Yekaterinburg).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
