Value bet: Chelyabinsk to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArsenal Tula to win ✗42% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arsenal Tula welcome Chelyabinsk to Stadion Arsenal for a First League fixture on Saturday 7 November (14:00 WAT). In the table, Arsenal Tula are 12th, lower half, on 19 points after 17 matches; Chelyabinsk are 11th (lower half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arsenal Tula, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Nizhny Novgorod, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Chelyabinsk, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Shinnik Yaroslavl, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Arsenal Tula 0–0 Chelyabinsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tula 1.5 xG, Chelyabinsk 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tula 42%, draw 23%, Chelyabinsk 35%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.72.
Price worth noting: Chelyabinsk to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tula 1–1 Chelyabinsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Tula42%fair 2.38 · @2.28
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.37
Chelyabinsk35%fair 2.82 · @3.20
2.85Expected goals
1.50Arsenal Tula xG
1.35Chelyabinsk xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.5 – 1.4 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chelyabinsk 35%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
