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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Torpedo Moskva v FK Neftekhimik: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Arena Khimki
1–0
FT
Torpedo Moskva 65%Draw 22%FK Neftekhimik 13% Expected goals 1.83 – 0.66
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓65% · @1.37
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.56
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.62

Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Torpedo Moskva welcome FK Neftekhimik to Arena Khimki for a First League fixture on Saturday 7 November (17:00 WAT). In the table, Torpedo Moskva are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; FK Neftekhimik are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Torpedo Moskva, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with KAMAZ, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

FK Neftekhimik, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ska-khabarovsk, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Torpedo Moskva, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for FK Neftekhimik.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Mar 2026) it ended Torpedo Moskva 3–0 FK Neftekhimik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Torpedo Moskva 1.8 xG, FK Neftekhimik 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Torpedo Moskva 65%, draw 22%, FK Neftekhimik 13%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.56.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torpedo Moskva 1–0 FK Neftekhimik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Torpedo Moskva65%fair 1.53 · @1.37
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.79
FK Neftekhimik13%fair 7.68 · @9.00
2.49Expected goals
1.83Torpedo Moskva xG
0.66FK Neftekhimik xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.8 – 0.7 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓65%1.531.37
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓87%1.151.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.56
Draw no betTorpedo Moskva (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapTorpedo Moskva -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.08
First team to scoreTorpedo Moskva to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultTorpedo Moskva ahead at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva ✗41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.62–

Recent results

Torpedo Moskva – last 6

DDWWWD
1 Nov@ KAMAZ1–1D
23 Octvs Rotor Volgograd1–1D
17 Oct@ Enisey2–1W
10 Oct@ Leningradets3–1W
3 Oct@ Torpedo Zhodino2–1W
27 Sep@ FC UFA0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FK Neftekhimik – last 6

LDLLLL
31 Octvs Ska-khabarovsk0–2L
25 Octvs Leningradets1–1D
17 Oct@ KAMAZ1–2L
9 Octvs Chelyabinsk2–4L
18 Sepvs Ural0–1L
14 Sep@ Spartak Kostroma0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Mar 2026Torpedo Moskva v FK Neftekhimik3–0
Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?

On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FK Neftekhimik 13%.

How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?

Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 1–0 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?

Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.