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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shinnik Yaroslavl v FC UFA: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Stadion Shinnik
2–1
FT

FC UFA

DLWLD
Shinnik Yaroslavl 44%Draw 25%FC UFA 32% Expected goals 1.21 – 0.97
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1

Value bet: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @ 2.47 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✓44% · @2.47
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.43

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 7 November the First League brings Shinnik Yaroslavl against FC UFA at Stadion Shinnik. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th, upper half, on 26 points after 17 matches; FC UFA are 8th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Chelyabinsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

FC UFA, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rotor Volgograd, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Mar 2026) it ended Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 FC UFA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.2 xG, FC UFA 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shinnik Yaroslavl 44%, draw 25%, FC UFA 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @2.47 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 FC UFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shinnik Yaroslavl44%fair 2.28 · @2.47
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.02
FC UFA32%fair 3.17 · @3.21
2.18Expected goals
1.21Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
0.97FC UFA xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.2 – 1.0 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✓44%2.282.47 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.38
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.942.05 ▲
Draw no betShinnik Yaroslavl (draw no bet) ✓58%1.72–
Asian handicapFC UFA +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.581.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.591.49
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.15
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreShinnik Yaroslavl to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shinnik Yaroslavl / FT Shinnik Yaroslavl ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.43–

Recent results

Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6

LWDLWD
31 Oct@ Chelyabinsk0–2L
26 Octvs Spartak Kostroma2–1W
18 Oct@ Veles1–1D
14 Oct@ Nizhny Novgorod0–4L
10 Octvs Tekstilshchik2–0W
27 Sepvs Ska-khabarovsk0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC UFA – last 6

DLWLDL
1 Nov@ Rotor Volgograd0–0D
24 Octvs Nizhny Novgorod0–1L
17 Octvs Arsenal Tula2–0W
11 Oct@ FC Sochi0–1L
27 Sepvs Torpedo Moskva0–0D
18 Sep@ Chelyabinsk1–2L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Mar 2026Shinnik Yaroslavl v FC UFA1–0
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?

On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC UFA 32%.

How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?

Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 FC UFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA (First League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Shinnik.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.