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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Caersws v Gresford Athletic: numbers & prediction

FAW Championship · Wales

Caersws

DWLW
1–0
FT

Gresford Athletic

LLLLW
Caersws 71%Draw 18%Gresford Athletic 11% Expected goals 2.71 – 0.95
71%
Betarazi pick

Caersws to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultCaersws to win ✓71% · @1.36
Double chanceCaersws or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 8 August the FAW Championship brings Caersws against Gresford Athletic. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Caersws are 6th, upper half, on 23 points after 13 matches; Gresford Athletic are 15th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Caersws, last 4: DWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mold Alexandra, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Gresford Athletic, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Newtown AFC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Caersws, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Gresford Athletic.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Gresford Athletic 0–2 Caersws.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Caersws 2.7 xG, Gresford Athletic 0.9 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Caersws 71%, draw 18%, Gresford Athletic 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Caersws to win (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caersws 2–0 Gresford Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Caersws71%fair 1.41 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.49 · @4.40
Gresford Athletic11%fair 9.26 · @6.00
3.66Expected goals
2.71Caersws xG
0.95Gresford Athletic xG
61%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–09%
2–19%
3–09%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%

From our goals model: Caersws 2.7 – 0.9 Gresford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CaerswsGresford Athletic
Attack vs FAW Championship average+12%-41%
Goals conceded vs average-11%+44%
Our expected goals here2.900.88

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCaersws to win ✓71%1.411.36
Double chanceCaersws or draw ✓89%1.121.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.44
Draw no betCaersws (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapCaersws -1 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓50%1.99–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
First team to scoreCaersws to score first ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultCaersws ahead at half-time ✗56%1.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Caersws / FT Caersws ✗51%1.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.15–

Recent results

Caersws – last 4

DWLW
1 Aug@ Mold Alexandra2–2D
13 Aprvs Buckley Town3–2W
6 Aprvs Penrhyncoch1–2L
3 Apr@ Gresford Athletic2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Gresford Athletic – last 6

LLLLWW
2 Augvs Newtown AFC0–3L
7 Apr@ Rhyl0–1L
3 Aprvs Caersws0–2L
20 Mar@ Ruthin Town1–2L
6 Mar@ Newtown AFC5–0W
1 Marvs Holyhead Hotspur1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Gresford Athletic v Caersws0–2
Caersws vs Gresford Athletic head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers141112+1934
2Newtown AFC13931+1930
3Porthmadog14833+727
4Mold Alexandra13742+1525
5Bala Town14734+324
6Caersws13652+1023
7Bangor City 1876 FC13643+1522
8Guilsfield14464+118
9Buckley Town14437015
10Holyhead Hotspur13436-315
11Llanuwchllyn14437-915
12Denbigh Town13427-214
13Rhyl14275-313
14Ruthin Town13337-1212
15Gresford Athletic12219-267
16Penrhyncoch130112-341

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub
FT Denbigh Town1 Bangor City 1876 FC2 137%2.15X21%3.60242%2.60 2.0–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.36 ✓
FT Guilsfield3 Mold Alexandra2 144%1.75X24%3.40232%3.75 1.5–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.57 ✓
FT Llanuwchllyn2 Buckley Town1 135%2.50X23%3.30242%2.30 2.4–2.6xG GGBoth teams to score 72%@1.40 ✓
FT Newtown AFC5 Penrhyncoch0 168%1.44X18%3.90213%5.00 2.5–0.7xG 1Newtown AFC to win 68%@1.44 ✓
FT Porthmadog1 Rhyl0 145%2.00X24%3.40231%3.00 1.6–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.44 ✗
FT Newport City1 Carmarthen Town2 141%2.70X23%3.20236%2.25 2.7–2.3xG GGBoth teams to score 72%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Caersws vs Gresford Athletic?

Our pick is Caersws to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Caersws vs Gresford Athletic?

On our numbers Caersws have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Gresford Athletic 11%.

How many goals will there be in Caersws vs Gresford Athletic?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Caersws vs Gresford Athletic?

Our predicted score is Caersws 2–0 Gresford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Caersws vs Gresford Athletic?

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.