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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mold Alexandra v Buckley Town: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Mold Alexandra 62%Draw 23%Buckley Town 14% Expected goals 2.37 – 1.13
86%
Betarazi pick

Mold Alexandra or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Mold Alexandra to win @ 1.70 – our chance 62% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMold Alexandra to win ✓62% · @1.70
Double chanceMold Alexandra or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43

Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mold Alexandra welcome Buckley Town for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 21 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Mold Alexandra are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 13 matches; Buckley Town are 9th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Mold Alexandra, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Holyhead Hotspur, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Buckley Town, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Porthmadog, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Mold Alexandra, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Buckley Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mold Alexandra 2.4 xG, Buckley Town 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mold Alexandra 62%, draw 23%, Buckley Town 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Mold Alexandra or draw (86%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Mold Alexandra to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mold Alexandra or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mold Alexandra 2–1 Buckley Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mold Alexandra62%fair 1.60 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.60
Buckley Town14%fair 6.92 · @3.75
3.50Expected goals
2.37Mold Alexandra xG
1.13Buckley Town xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Mold Alexandra 2.4 – 1.1 Buckley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMold Alexandra to win ✓62%1.601.70 ▲
Double chanceMold Alexandra or draw ✓86%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.501.40
Draw no betMold Alexandra (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapMold Alexandra -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scoreMold Alexandra to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultMold Alexandra ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mold Alexandra / FT Mold Alexandra ✗43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.43–

Recent results

Mold Alexandra – last 6

WLDWLL
15 Augvs Holyhead Hotspur1–0W
8 Aug@ Guilsfield2–3L
1 Augvs Caersws2–2D
3 Apr@ Newtown AFC2–1W
13 Mar@ Airbus UK0–8L
21 Febvs Rhyl0–1L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Buckley Town – last 6

DLLLLL
15 Augvs Porthmadog1–1D
8 Aug@ Llanuwchllyn1–2L
1 Augvs Denbigh Town2–4L
23 Junvs Llandudno0–6L
13 Apr@ Caersws2–3L
3 Aprvs Brickfield Rangers0–6L
1.0Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mold Alexandra and Buckley Town.

Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers141112+1934
2Newtown AFC13931+1930
3Porthmadog14833+727
4Mold Alexandra13742+1525
5Bala Town14734+324
6Caersws13652+1023
7Bangor City 1876 FC13643+1522
8Guilsfield14464+118
9Buckley Town14437015
10Holyhead Hotspur13436-315
11Llanuwchllyn14437-915
12Denbigh Town13427-214
13Rhyl14275-313
14Ruthin Town13337-1212
15Gresford Athletic12219-267
16Penrhyncoch130112-341

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town?

Our pick is Mold Alexandra or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town?

On our numbers Mold Alexandra have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Buckley Town 14%.

How many goals will there be in Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town?

Our predicted score is Mold Alexandra 2–1 Buckley Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town?

Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.