Pontypridd Town 58%Draw 23%Trethomas Bluebirds 19%Expected goals 2.42 – 1.41
81%
Betarazi pick
Pontypridd Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPontypridd Town to win ✓58% · @1.67
Double chancePontypridd Town or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.15
Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 21 August the FAW Championship brings Pontypridd Town against Trethomas Bluebirds at USW Sports Park. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Pontypridd Town are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 13 matches; Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Pontypridd Town, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Cardiff Draconians, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Trethomas Bluebirds, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Caerau (Ely), at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pontypridd Town, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Trethomas Bluebirds.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Trethomas Bluebirds 4–2 Pontypridd Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pontypridd Town 2.4 xG, Trethomas Bluebirds 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pontypridd Town 58%, draw 23%, Trethomas Bluebirds 19%.
Lower-risk option: Pontypridd Town or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pontypridd Town or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pontypridd Town 2–1 Trethomas Bluebirds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pontypridd Town58%fair 1.72 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.60
Trethomas Bluebirds19%fair 5.17 · @4.00
3.83Expected goals
2.42Pontypridd Town xG
1.41Trethomas Bluebirds xG
68%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–06%
2–26%
1–05%
From our goals model: Pontypridd Town 2.4 – 1.4 Trethomas Bluebirds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Our pick is Pontypridd Town or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
On our numbers Pontypridd Town have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Trethomas Bluebirds 19%.
How many goals will there be in Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Our predicted score is Pontypridd Town 2–1 Trethomas Bluebirds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at USW Sports Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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