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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Denbigh Town v Bala Town: numbers & prediction

5–2
FT
Denbigh Town 19%Draw 21%Bala Town 59% Expected goals 1.16 – 2.15
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultBala Town to win ✗59% · @1.57
Double chanceBala Town or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Denbigh Town vs Bala Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Denbigh Town welcome Bala Town for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 11 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Denbigh Town are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Bala Town are 5th (upper half) with 24.

Current form

Denbigh Town, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Newtown AFC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Bala Town, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Porthmadog, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Bala Town, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.2 for Denbigh Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Denbigh Town 1.2 xG, Bala Town 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Denbigh Town 19%, draw 21%, Bala Town 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bala Town or draw (81%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Denbigh Town 1–2 Bala Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Denbigh Town19%fair 5.24 · @4.33
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.80
Bala Town59%fair 1.68 · @1.57
3.31Expected goals
1.16Denbigh Town xG
2.15Bala Town xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Denbigh Town 1.2 – 2.2 Bala Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBala Town to win ✗59%1.681.57
Double chanceBala Town or draw ✗81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.50
Draw no betBala Town (draw no bet) ✗76%1.32–
Asian handicapBala Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
First team to scoreBala Town to score first ✗63%1.60–
Half-time resultBala Town ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bala Town / FT Bala Town ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Denbigh Town – last 6

LLDLLL
5 Sep@ Newtown AFC0–1L
31 Augvs Rhyl1–3L
28 Aug@ Penrhyncoch2–2D
21 Augvs Porthmadog2–3L
14 Aug@ Ruthin Town1–2L
8 Augvs Bangor City 1876 FC1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Bala Town – last 6

WLWWWW
5 Sep@ Porthmadog2–1W
31 Augvs Newtown AFC0–1L
28 Aug@ Rhyl3–1W
21 Augvs Gresford Athletic3–0W
7 Augvs Ruthin Town2–1W
31 Jul@ Bangor City 1876 FC2–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Denbigh Town and Bala Town.

Denbigh Town vs Bala Town head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers141112+1934
2Newtown AFC13931+1930
3Porthmadog14833+727
4Mold Alexandra13742+1525
5Bala Town14734+324
6Caersws13652+1023
7Bangor City 1876 FC13643+1522
8Guilsfield14464+118
9Buckley Town14437015
10Holyhead Hotspur13436-315
11Llanuwchllyn14437-915
12Denbigh Town13427-214
13Rhyl14275-313
14Ruthin Town13337-1212
15Gresford Athletic12219-267
16Penrhyncoch130112-341

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Denbigh Town vs Bala Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Denbigh Town vs Bala Town?

On our numbers Denbigh Town have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bala Town 59%.

How many goals will there be in Denbigh Town vs Bala Town?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Denbigh Town vs Bala Town?

Our predicted score is Denbigh Town 1–2 Bala Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Denbigh Town vs Bala Town?

Denbigh Town vs Bala Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.