Pontypridd Town v Afan Lido Prediction & Expected Goals (11 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPontypridd Town to win ✗57% · @1.67

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.44

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.27

Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Friday 11 September: Pontypridd Town v Afan Lido in the FAW Championship, played at USW Sports Park. In the table, Pontypridd Town are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 13 matches; Afan Lido are 7th (upper half) with 18.

Current form

Pontypridd Town, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Swansea University, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Afan Lido, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Baglan Dragons, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Pontypridd Town, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Afan Lido.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pontypridd Town 2.7 xG, Afan Lido 1.7 xG – a total near 4.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 82% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Pontypridd Town 57%, draw 20%, Afan Lido 23%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pontypridd Town 2–1 Afan Lido. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pontypridd Town57%fair 1.74 · @1.67

Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.70

Afan Lido23%fair 4.37 · @3.90

4.42Expected goals

2.69Pontypridd Town xG

1.73Afan Lido xG

70%Both score

82%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%

3–17%

2–27%

3–26%

1–16%

1–25%

From our goals model: Pontypridd Town 2.7 – 1.7 Afan Lido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pontypridd Town to win ✗	57%	1.74	1.67
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.24	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	70%	1.43	1.44
Draw no bet	Pontypridd Town (draw no bet) ✗	72%	1.40	–
Asian handicap	Afan Lido +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	93%	1.07	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	64%	1.55	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	55%	1.83	–
First team to score	Pontypridd Town to score first ✗	60%	1.66	–
Half-time result	Pontypridd Town ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town ✗	38%	2.61	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	13.27	–

Pontypridd Town – last 6

DWWWWL

28 Aug	@ Swansea University	4–4	D
21 Aug	vs Trethomas Bluebirds	2–1	W
15 Aug	@ Cardiff Draconians	4–1	W
7 Aug	vs Pontardawe Town	3–2	W
1 Aug	@ Treowen Stars	3–2	W
27 Mar	vs Trefelin	1–3	L

2.8Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Afan Lido – last 6

LDLWLW

4 Sep	@ Baglan Dragons	1–2	L
31 Aug	vs Ynyshir Albions	0–0	D
28 Aug	@ Trethomas Bluebirds	2–5	L
21 Aug	vs Pontardawe Town	1–0	W
14 Aug	@ Carmarthen Town	1–3	L
7 Aug	vs Llantwit Major	5–0	W

1.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

FAW Championship table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pontypridd Town	13	8	3	2	+13	27
2	Aberystwyth Town	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Swansea University	11	7	3	1	+19	24
4	Caerau (Ely)	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Baglan Dragons	13	6	2	5	0	20
6	Ynyshir Albions	11	5	4	2	+7	19
7	Afan Lido	14	5	3	6	-2	18
8	Trethomas Bluebirds	13	4	5	4	+3	17
9	Treowen Stars	12	5	2	5	-1	17
10	Carmarthen Town	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Pontardawe Town	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Caerphilly Athletic	13	4	2	7	-7	14
13	Newport City	11	3	4	4	+4	13
14	Cardiff Draconians	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Llantwit Major	12	3	3	6	-12	12
16	llanelli AFC	14	0	3	11	-31	3

Team

Pts

+13

+18

+19

-2

-1

-6

-1

-7

-5

-12

-31

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido?

On our numbers Pontypridd Town have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Afan Lido 23%.

How many goals will there be in Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido?

We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido?

Our predicted score is Pontypridd Town 2–1 Afan Lido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.

When is Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido?

Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at USW Sports Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Pontypridd Town v Afan Lido: numbers & prediction