Porthmadog v Ruthin Town: numbers & prediction

Porthmadog vs Ruthin Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ruthin Town travel to face Porthmadog on Saturday 12 September in the FAW Championship – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Porthmadog are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 14 matches; Ruthin Town are 14th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Porthmadog, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bala Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Ruthin Town, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Caersws, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Porthmadog, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Ruthin Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Porthmadog 2.3 xG, Ruthin Town 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Porthmadog 68%, draw 18%, Ruthin Town 15%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Porthmadog to win (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Porthmadog 2–0 Ruthin Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.