Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.64
Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the FAW Championship brings Cardiff Draconians against Baglan Dragons. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Cardiff Draconians are 14th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 11 matches; Baglan Dragons are 5th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Cardiff Draconians, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over llanelli AFC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Baglan Dragons, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Afan Lido, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Baglan Dragons, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Cardiff Draconians.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff Draconians 1.4 xG, Baglan Dragons 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff Draconians 43%, draw 20%, Baglan Dragons 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff Draconians 2–1 Baglan Dragons. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cardiff Draconians43%fair 2.33 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Baglan Dragons37%fair 2.70 · @2.70
2.65Expected goals
1.39Cardiff Draconians xG
1.26Baglan Dragons xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cardiff Draconians 1.4 – 1.3 Baglan Dragons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff Draconians to win✓
43%
2.33
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Cardiff Draconians (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Baglan Dragons +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Cardiff Draconians to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff Draconians / FT Cardiff Draconians✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.64
–
Recent results
Cardiff Draconians – last 6
WLDLWL
22 Aug
vs llanelli AFC
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Pontypridd Town
1–4
L
7 Aug
@ Caerphilly Athletic
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Ynyshir Albions
0–1
L
24 Mar
vs Ynyshir Albions
4–1
W
6 Mar
@ Ammanford AFC
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Baglan Dragons – last 6
WLWWWL
4 Sep
vs Afan Lido
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Caerphilly Athletic
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Caerau (Ely)
3–1
W
21 Aug
@ Newport City
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Llantwit Major
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Swansea University
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff Draconians and Baglan Dragons.
What is the prediction for Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons?
On our numbers Cardiff Draconians have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Baglan Dragons 37%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons?
Our predicted score is Cardiff Draconians 2–1 Baglan Dragons, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons?
Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Caersws0
Brickfield Rangers2
Guilsfield1
Gresford Athletic1
Mold Alexandra2
Llanuwchllyn2
Penrhyncoch1
Bangor City 1876 FC5
Porthmadog3
Ruthin Town0
Rhyl3
Buckley Town3